2019-2020 Awards Season

All non-Nolan related film, tv, and streaming discussions.
Posts: 18852
Joined: June 2010
Location: The White City
My impression of the Oscar Race 2019, per convo in The Irishman thread.

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is the current frontrunner. (Cross posted from Irishman): it screened for Academy members and they became so packed they had to add additional screenings. It's a tender elegy for their industry, a love letter for actors (by far the biggest demographic in the academy) and written and directed by one of the 'greats' of his generation who has never won best picture or best director. There's an impression Tarantino "grew up" with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, too. It's a powerful mix.

Marriage Story doesn't have an "Oscar Narrative Hook" as said elsewhere, and Irishman is crazy long and slow, which means many academy members may watch it on/off multiple viewings at home which will "hurt" the movie probably. It might be seen by some as a bit of a slog, despite enormous love for Scorsese. The Netflix factor may hurt those movies more than anything, still seen as an existential threat to the industry.

Jo Jo Rabbit may be too weird and divisive, and we don't give best picture winners to foreign movies (Parasite). Ford V Ferrari by all accounts is too slight, so is A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. Joker could easily become the Green Book/Bohemian Rhapsody of this season, outraging the film twittersphere but plays big to the expanded academy audience. Then there's 1917 and Little Women, which are huge unknowns but there's good buzz on both.

(in order)
Hollywood
Irishman
Marriage Story
Jo Jo Rabbit
Parasite
Ford V Ferrari
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The Farewell
The Two Popes
Joker


-Vader

Posts: 737
Joined: January 2013
Has "Queen and Slim" been seen yet?

Also, I don't think Netflix can get three films nominated, So "Two Popes" may be the odd man out.

Posts: 19716
Joined: June 2011
Location: The Ashes of Gotham
Bombshell could also make a last minute splash similar to American Sniper or Phantom Thread.

Posts: 12299
Joined: February 2011
Speaking of Eastwood and last minute contenders, his latest film Richard Jewel will also be released in December 13, so there's that.

Posts: 19409
Joined: June 2012
Location: 1860s, New England
what about The Lighthouse

Posts: 19716
Joined: June 2011
Location: The Ashes of Gotham
Master Virgo wrote:
September 29th, 2019, 8:10 am
Speaking of Eastwood and last minute contenders, his latest film Richard Jewel will also be released in December 13, so there's that.
I reckon it'll be more The Mule than American Sniper.

Posts: 11227
Joined: December 2011
Location: Santa Barbara
Nomis wrote:
September 29th, 2019, 8:15 am
what about The Lighthouse
yes

Posts: 18852
Joined: June 2010
Location: The White City
likely way too weird for a BP nom. maybe dafoe and below the line noms.


-Vader

Posts: 19409
Joined: June 2012
Location: 1860s, New England

Posts: 25480
Joined: June 2011
Dafoe might actually win Best Supporting Actor for this then. Both Joaquin and Dafoe could become Oscar winners this upcoming season. :shock:

Post Reply