okungnyo wrote:Some quick Google searching (so this could be wrong) says that The Dark Knight's Oscar re-release added $52 million to its original gross of $952 million (which had been $512 million domestic and $440 million international), and helped it push past $1 billion.
So if Dunkirk manages to "scratch and claw" (as Benzilla so eloquently put it) to $190 million domestic, an Oscar re-release could help it push past $200 million domestic.
Where did you get that $512m number? There is zero evidence based on theater count that the film was at $512m when they expanded it for Oscar season. More like $530m at the time. Look at the week to week theater count:
There was a dollar theater expansion in November, which happens for all big blockbuster movies. Was already north of $528m at this point. It didn't receive the Oscar theater expansion until January and by that point it was over $530m.
Still, we expect Nolan’s fanbase to turn out in droves this weekend, giving Dunkirk a three-day debut in the vicinity of RMB 180-200 million ($~30 million), on par with Valerian‘s opening last weekend.
In the end, Dunkirk will struggle to reach Hacksaw Ridge‘s impressive total and will finish a subpar Chinese run (given Nolan’s previous successes there) with RMB 400 million ($60 million).